Monday, October 25, 2004

World Series Prediction....

I told you baseball playoff predicting is way too difficult. When this all started these were my original picks:

Division Series
Astros over Braves
Cardinals over Dodgers
Red Sox over Angels
Twins over Yankees

LCS
Red Sox over Twins
Astros over Cardinals

World Series
Astros over Red Sox

I then learned the Yankees set an MLB record with 61 come from behind wins which is one of the markers I like to look at during the playoffs and I said that I would have predicted the Yanks over the Twins and then Red Sox over Yanks and Red Sox over Astros.

When the LCS came around I made some more predictions, this time picking the Yanks over the Red Sox (who knew bionic man was going to pitch again?) and the Cards over the Astros. Well there's the recap, now here's the prediction for what it's worth. (And yes I know it's late but these are my thoughts before the series)

This one is a no-brainer, beating the Yankees removes the monkey the size of King Kong off of the Red Sox back. Plus their pitching is better and Tony LaRussa will hopefully never win another title in my day. If you want to go by positions, then let's do that.

C - Varitek over Matheny
1B - Pujols over Millar/Ortiz
2B - Bellhorn over Womack
SS - Renteria over Cabrera (barely)
3B - Rolen over Mueller
LF - Manny over Taguchi/Sanders
CF - Edmonds over Damon
RF - Walker over Nixon (barely)
DH - Ortiz over Sanders

That's a 5-4 edge for the Cardinals but it's really, really close. The big difference is the Red Sox have no automatic outs in their lineup while the Cards have 2 with Matheny and Womack and a third when Taguchi plays.

Schilling, Pedro, Lowe, Wakefield versus Williams, Morris, Suppan and either Carpenter or Marquis. It's not that close, throw in the supposed strength of the Cardinals bullpen which has not been a strength particularly with Steve Kline down and the fact that Francona has used his bench quite well so far in these playoffs and all signs indicate a Boston win.

Good, get this curse crap over with.

Red Sox in 6

In other news, check out the documentary on HBO, "9 innings from Ground Zero", excellent stuff.

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